Uqikelelo lwemarike yokugcina amandla ehlabathi ngo-2023

I-China Business Intelligence Network News: Ukugcinwa kwamandla kubhekisela ekugcinweni kwamandla ombane, okuhambelana neteknoloji kunye nemilinganiselo yokusebenzisa iindlela zekhemikhali okanye eziphathekayo ukugcina amandla ombane kunye nokukhulula xa kufuneka. Ngokwendlela yokugcina amandla, ukugcinwa kwamandla kunokwahlulwa kugcino lwamandla omatshini, ukugcinwa kwamandla e-electrochemical, ukugcinwa kwamandla e-electrochemical, ukugcinwa kwamandla okushisa kunye nokugcinwa kwamandla ekhemikhali.Ukugcinwa kwamandla kuba enye yezobuchwepheshe eziphambili ezisetyenziswa ngamazwe amaninzi ukukhuthaza inkqubo yokungathathi hlangothi kwekhabhoni. Nangona phantsi koxinzelelo olubini lwe-COVID-19 ubhubhane kunye nokunqongophala kwekhonkco lokubonelela, imarike yogcino lwamandla olutsha lwehlabathi iya kuhlala igcina ukukhula okuphezulu kwi-2021. Idatha ibonisa ukuba ekupheleni kwe-2021, i-cumulative efakwe kwiiprojekthi zokugcina amandla eziye zafakwa ekusebenzeni kwihlabathi yi-209.4GW, i-9% ngonyaka; Phakathi kwabo, umthamo ofakiweyo weeprojekthi zokugcinwa kwamandla amatsha afakwe ekusebenzeni yayiyi-18.3GW, inyuke nge-185% ngonyaka. Ukuchatshazelwa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso amandla eYurophu, kulindeleke ukuba imfuno yokugcina amandla iya kuqhubeka ikhula kule minyaka imbalwa izayo, kunye nomthamo odibeneyo ofakiweyo weprojekthi zogcino lwamandla eziye zasetyenziswa kwihlabathi ziya kufikelela kwi-228.8GW ngo-2023.

Ithemba loshishino

1. Imigaqo-nkqubo ethandwayo

Oorhulumente bezoqoqosho ezinkulu baye bamkela imigaqo-nkqubo yokukhuthaza ukuphuhliswa kokugcinwa kwamandla. Umzekelo, eUnited States, intlawulo yerhafu yotyalo-mali yomanyano ibonelela ngetyala lerhafu ngokufakela izixhobo zokugcina amandla ngabasebenzisi bendlu kunye nemizi-mveliso kunye nezorhwebo. Kwi-EU, i-2030 ye-Battery Innovation Roadmap igxininisa amanyathelo ahlukeneyo okuvuselela indawo kunye nophuhliso olukhulu lweteknoloji yokugcina amandla. E-China, iSicwangciso sokuPhunyezwa soPhuhliso loGcino lwaMandla oMtsha kwiSicwangciso seMinyaka emiHlanu se-14 esikhutshwe ngowama-2022 sibeka phambili imigaqo-nkqubo ebanzi kunye nemilinganiselo yokukhuthaza ushishino lokugcinwa kwamandla ukuze lungene kwinqanaba lophuhliso olukhulu.

2. Isabelo samandla azinzileyo kumbane siyanda

Njengamandla omoya, i-photovoltaic kunye nezinye iindlela zokuvelisa amandla zixhomekeke kakhulu kubume bendalo yombane, ngokunyuka ngokuthe ngcembe komlinganiselo wamandla amatsha njengomoya kunye namandla elanga, inkqubo yamandla ibonakalisa ukuchaneka okuphindwe kabini, okuphindwe kabini okuphezulu kunye nokuphindwe kabini, okubeka phambili iimfuno eziphezulu zokhuseleko kunye nozinzo lwegridi yamandla, kwaye imarike iye yanda imfuno yokugcina amandla, ukugcinwa kwamandla kunye nokuhamba rhoqo. Kwelinye icala, eminye imimandla isajongene nengxaki yezinga eliphezulu lokukhanya kunye nokulahlwa kombane, njengeQinghai, i-Inner Mongolia, i-Hebei, njl. Ngokwakhiwa kwebhetshi entsha yeziseko zokuvelisa amandla omoya amakhulu e-photovoltaic, kulindeleke ukuba umbane omkhulu wegridi-edityaniswe nombane uza kuzisa uxinzelelo olukhulu ekusetyenzisweni nasekusetyenzisweni kwamandla amatsha kwixesha elizayo. Umlinganiselo wokuveliswa kwamandla amatsha asekhaya kulindeleke ukuba udlule kuma-20% ngowama-2025.

3. Imfuno yamandla ijika ibe namandla acocekileyo phantsi kwendlela yokufakelwa kombane

Phantsi kwendlela yokufakwa kombane, imfuno yamandla iguqukile ngokuthe chu kumandla emveli afana namafutha efosili ukuya ekucoceni amandla ombane. Olu tshintsho lubonakaliswa kukutshintsha ukusuka kwizithuthi zamafutha efosili ukuya kwizithuthi zombane, uninzi lwazo ziqhutywa ngamandla ahlaziyekayo asasazwayo. Njengoko umbane ococekileyo uba ngamandla abaluleke ngakumbi, imfuno yokugcina amandla iya kuqhubeka nokunyuka ukuxazulula iingxaki eziphazamisayo kunye nokulinganisela ukubonelela kunye nemfuno yombane.

4. Ukuhla kweendleko zokugcina amandla

Umyinge wehlabathi jikelele we-LCOE wogcino lwamandla uye wehla ukusuka kwi-2.0 ukuya kwi-3.5 yuan/kWh ngo-2017 ukuya kwi-0.5 ukuya kwi-0.8 yuan/kWh ngo-2021, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ukwehla ngakumbi ukuya ku- [0.3 ukuya kwi-0.5 yuan/kWh ngo-2026. ukuncitshiswa kweendleko zokwenziwa kwezinto kunye nokonyuka komjikelo wobomi bebhetri. Ukuhla okuqhubekayo kweendleko zokugcina amandla kuya kukhuthaza ukukhula kweshishini lokugcina amandla.

Ngolwazi oluthe vetshe, nceda ujonge kwiNgxelo yoPhando ngeThemba leMarike kunye namaThuba oTyalo-mali kuShishino loGcino lwaMandla eHlabathi olukhutshwe liZiko loPhando loShishino lwaseTshayina. Kwangaxeshanye, iChina Commercial Industry Research Institute ikwabonelela ngeenkonzo ezinje ngedatha enkulu yemizi-mveliso, ubukrelekrele boshishino, ingxelo yophando lwamashishini, ucwangciso lwamashishini, ucwangciso lwepaki, iSicwangciso seminyaka elishumi elinesine, utyalo-mali lwemizi-mveliso kunye nezinye iinkonzo.