Imakethi yaseTshayina yokugcina i-optical ngo-2023

Ngomhla we-13 kaFebruwari, i-National Energy Administration ibambe inkomfa yeendaba rhoqo eBeijing. Wang Dapeng, uSekela Mlawuli weSebe lezaMandla amatsha kunye nokuhlaziywa koLawulo lwaMandla kaZwelonke, wazisa ukuba kwi-2022, umthamo omtsha ofakwe umoya kunye nokuveliswa kwamandla e-photovoltaic kweli lizwe uya kudlula i-120 yezigidi ze-kilowatts, ukufikelela kwi-125 yezigidi ze-kilowatts, ukuphula i-100 yezigidi zeekilowatts iminyaka emithathu elandelelanayo, kunye nokubetha irekhodi elitsha.

U-Liu Yafang, usekela-mlawuli weSebe lezoLondolozo lwaMandla kunye neSayensi kunye neTekhnoloji yeZixhobo zoLawulo lwaMandla kaZwelonke, wathi ekupheleni kwe-2022, umthamo ofakelweyo weeprojekthi zokugcina amandla okusebenza kwilizwe lonke ufikelele kwi-8.7 yezigidi ze-kilowatts, kunye nexesha eliqhelekileyo lokugcina amandla malunga neeyure ze-2.1, ukwanda kwe-20% ngaphezu kwe-20 ye-110 ekupheleni kwe-110%

Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, phantsi kweenjongo zekhabhoni ezimbini, uphuhliso lwe-leapfrog yamandla amatsha njengamandla omoya kunye nokuveliswa kwamandla elanga kuye kwakhawuleza, ngelixa ukuguquguquka kunye nokungahambi kakuhle kwamandla amatsha kuye kwaba nzima ekuqinisekiseni ukunikezelwa kombane okuzinzileyo. Ukwabiwa kwamandla amatsha kunye nokugcinwa ngokuthe ngcembe kuye kwaba yeyona nto iphambili, enemisebenzi yokucinezela ukuguquguquka kwamandla amatsha aphumayo, ukuphucula ukusetyenziswa kwamandla amatsha, ukunciphisa ukutenxa kwisicwangciso sokuvelisa amandla, ukuphucula ukhuseleko kunye nokuzinza kokusebenza kwegridi yamandla, kunye nokunciphisa ukuhanjiswa kwamandla.

Ngomhla wama-21 ku-Epreli, i-2021, iKomishoni yoPhuhliso kunye noHlaziyo lweSizwe kunye noLawulo lweSizwe lwezaMandla lukhuphe iimbono eziSikhokelo malunga nokuKhawuleza uPhuhliso loGcino lwaMandla oMtsha kunye nokucela izimvo kuluntu lonke. Kucaciswe ngokucacileyo ukuba umthamo ofakiweyo wogcino lwamandla amatsha uya kufikelela ngaphezu kwe-30 million kilowatts ngo-2025. Ngokutsho kwezibalo, ekupheleni kuka-2020, i-China ibeke ekusebenzeni i-cumulative efakwe ugcino lwamandla ombane we-electrochemical yi-3269.2 megawatts, okanye i-3.3 yezigidi zeekilowatts, ngokutsho kuxwebhu lofakelo oluhlonyelwe kwi-2 ye-electrochemical ecetywayo kwi-2 umthamo we-electro iya kwanda malunga namaxesha ali-10

Namhlanje, ngophuhliso olukhawulezayo lwe-PV + yokugcina amandla, kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo kunye nenkxaso yemarike, injani imeko yophuhliso lwemarike yokugcina amandla? Kuthekani ngokusebenza kwesikhululo samandla sokugcina amandla esithe sasetyenziswa? Ngaba inokudlala indima yayo kunye nexabiso layo?

Ukuya kuthi ga kwi-30% yokugcina!

Ukusuka ekukhetheni ukuya kwisinyanzeliso, owona myalelo ungqongqo wolwabiwo wogcino wakhutshwa

Ngokwezibalo ze-International Energy Network / Photovoltaic Headline (PV-2005), kude kube ngoku, amazwe angama-25 akhuphe imigaqo-nkqubo yokucacisa iimfuno ezithile zokucwangciswa kwe-photovoltaic kunye nokugcinwa. Ngokubanzi, imimandla emininzi ifuna ukuba ukuhanjiswa kunye nokugcinwa kwesikali sezikhululo zamandla e-photovoltaic zibe phakathi kwe-5% kunye ne-30% yomthamo ofakiweyo, ixesha lokucwangcisa ubukhulu becala yi-2-4 iiyure, kwaye imimandla embalwa yiyure enye.

Phakathi kwabo, iSixeko saseZaozhuang sePhondo laseShandong siqwalasele ngokucacileyo isikali sophuhliso, iimpawu zomthwalo, izinga lokusetyenziswa kwe-photovoltaic kunye nezinye izinto, kwaye ulungelelanise indawo yokugcina amandla ngokomthamo ofakiweyo we-15% - 30% (uhlengahlengiso ngokwenqanaba lophuhliso) kunye nobude beeyure ezi-2-4, okanye urente izibonelelo zokugcinwa kwamandla ekwabelwanayo kunye nomthamo ofanayo wokuhanjiswa kwefoto, kunye nokugcinwa kweemfuno ze-photovol. Ukongeza, i-Shaanxi, i-Gansu, i-Henan kunye nezinye iindawo zifuna umlinganiselo wokusabalalisa kunye nokugcinwa ukufikelela kwi-20%

Kuyaphawuleka ukuba uGuizhou ukhuphe uxwebhu lokucacisa ukuba iiprojekthi zamandla amatsha kufuneka zihlangabezane neemfuno zomsebenzi weyure ezimbini ngokwakha okanye ukuthenga ugcino lwamandla ngesantya esingekho ngaphantsi kwe-10% yomthamo ofakiweyo wamandla amatsha (umlinganiselo wonxibelelano unokulungiswa ngamandla ngokwemeko yokwenyani) ukuhlangabezana nemfuno yokucheba incopho; Kwiiprojekthi zamandla amatsha ngaphandle kokugcinwa kwamandla, uqhagamshelo lwegridi aluyi kuqwalaselwa okwethutyana, olunokuthi luthathwe njengolona lwabiwo lungqongqo kunye nomyalelo wogcino.

Izixhobo zokugcina amandla:

Kunzima ukwenza ingeniso kwaye umdla wamashishini awukho phezulu

Ngokwezibalo ze-International Energy Network / Photovoltaic Headline (PV-2005), kwi-2022, iiprojekthi ze-83 zokugcina umoya kunye nokugcinwa kwamandla elanga zisayinwe / zicwangciswe kwilizwe lonke, kunye nomlinganiselo ocacileyo weprojekthi ye-191.553GW kunye nemali ecacileyo yotyalo-mali ye-663.346 yezigidigidi ze-yuan.

Phakathi kobukhulu beprojekthi echaziweyo, i-Inner Mongolia ibeka kuqala nge-53.436GW, i-Gansu ibeka indawo yesibini kunye ne-47.307GW, kwaye i-Heilongjiang ithatha indawo yesithathu nge-15.83GW. Ubungakanani beprojekthi yeGuizhou, iShanxi, iXinjiang, iLiaoning, iGuangdong, iJiangsu, iYunnan, iGuangxi, iHubei, iChongqing, iJiangxi, iShandong kunye neAnhui amaphondo onke adlula i-1GW

Ngelixa unikezelo lwamandla amatsha kunye nezikhululo zamandla okugcina amandla ziye zakhula, izitishi zamandla okugcina amandla esele ziqalisiwe ziwele kwimeko exhalabisayo. Inani elikhulu leeprojekthi zokugcina amandla ezixhasayo zikwinqanaba elingasebenziyo kwaye ngokuthe ngcembe libe yimeko ehlazo

Ngokutsho "kwiNgxelo yoPhando ngokuSebenza koSabelo lwaMandla amatsha kunye nokuGcina" ekhutshwe yi-China Electricity Union, ixabiso leeprojekthi zokugcina amandla ziphakathi kwe-1500-3000 yuan / kWh. Ngenxa yeemeko ezahlukeneyo zomda, umahluko weendleko phakathi kweeprojekthi mkhulu. Ukusuka kwimeko yokwenyani, inzuzo yeeprojekthi ezininzi zokugcina amandla ayiphezulu

Oku akunakwahlulwa kwizithintelo zokwenyani. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, malunga nokufikelela kwiimarike, iimeko zokufikelela kwizikhululo zamandla okugcina amandla ukuba zithathe inxaxheba kwimarike yokuthengisa indawo yombane ayikacaciswa, kwaye imithetho yokurhweba ayikaphuculwa. Kwelinye icala, ngokwendlela yexabiso, ukusekwa kwendlela yokubeka amaxabiso omthamo ozimeleyo kwizitishi zamandla okugcina amandla kwicala legridi akulibazisekanga, kwaye ishishini lilonke lisasilela kwingqiqo epheleleyo yoshishino ukukhokela inkunzi yentlalo kwiprojekthi yokugcina amandla. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, iindleko zokugcina amandla amatsha ziphezulu kwaye ukusebenza kakuhle kuphantsi, Ukunqongophala kweziteshi zokuhambisa. Ngokutsho kweengxelo zeendaba ezifanelekileyo, okwangoku, iindleko zokusasazwa kwamandla amatsha kunye nokugcinwa zithwalwa ngamashishini amatsha ophuhliso lwamandla, angadluliselwa kwi-downstream. Iindleko zeebhetri ze-lithium ion ziye zanda, eziye zazisa uxinzelelo olukhulu lokusebenza kumashishini amatsha amandla kwaye zichaphazela izigqibo zotyalo-mali zamashishini amatsha ophuhliso lwamandla. Ukongeza, kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, ngexabiso lezinto ze-silicon kwindawo ephezulu ye-photovoltaic industry chain chain, ixabiso liguquguquka kakhulu. Kumashishini amatsha ombane kunye nokuhanjiswa okunyanzelekileyo kunye nokugcinwa, Ngokungathandabuzekiyo, izinto eziphindwe kabini zongeze umthwalo wamashishini okuvelisa amandla amatsha, ngoko ke umdla wamashishini wolwabiwo lwamandla amatsha kunye nokugcinwa uphantsi ngokubanzi.

Imiqobo engundoqo:

Ingxaki yokhuseleko lokugcinwa kwamandla ihlala isonjululwe, kwaye ukusebenza kunye nokugcinwa kwesikhululo samandla kunzima

Kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo, iintlobo ezintsha zokugcina amandla ziye zahluma kwaye zisetyenziswa ngokubanzi, ngelixa ukhuseleko lokugcinwa kwamandla luye lwaba lukhulu kakhulu. Ngokwezibalo ezingaphelelanga, ukusukela ngo-2018, ngaphezu kweziganeko ezingama-40 zokuqhuma kwebhetri yokugcina amandla kunye nomlilo zenzekile kwihlabathi liphela, ngakumbi ukudubula kweBeijing Energy Storage Power Station ngo-Epreli 16, 2021, okubangele ukubhubha kwabacimi-mlilo ababini, ukwenzakala komnye umcimi-mlilo, kunye nokulahleka konxibelelwano lomqeshwa omnye kwisikhululo samandla sokhuseleko kunye nemveliso yebhetri eveziweyo. ukuthembeka, isikhokelo esibuthathaka semigangatho efanelekileyo kunye neenkcukacha, ukuphunyezwa okunganelanga kwamanyathelo olawulo lokhuseleko, kunye nesilumkiso sokhuseleko olungafezekanga kunye neendlela zikaxakeka.

Ukongezelela, phantsi koxinzelelo lweendleko eziphezulu, abanye abakhi beprojekthi yokugcina amandla bakhethe iimveliso zokugcina amandla kunye nokusebenza kakubi kunye neendleko eziphantsi zotyalo-mali, okwandisa ingozi yokhuseleko olunokwenzeka. Kunokuthiwa ukuba ingxaki yokhuseleko yinto ephambili echaphazela uphuhliso oluphilileyo noluzinzile lwesikali sokugcina amandla amatsha, ekufuneka kusonjululwe ngokukhawuleza.

Ngokwemigaqo yokusebenza kwesikhululo samandla kunye nokugcinwa, ngokutsho kwengxelo yeChina yoMbane woMbane, inani leeseli ze-electrochemical likhulu, kwaye umlinganiselo wenani leeseli zeprojekthi yokugcina amandla ufikelele kumashumi amawaka okanye amakhulu amawaka amanqanaba. Ukongeza, iindleko zokuhla kwexabiso, ilahleko yoguqulo lwamandla ngendlela eyiyo, ukubola komthamo webhetri kunye nezinye izinto ezisebenzayo nazo ziya kwandisa kakhulu iindleko zomjikelo wobomi besikhululo samandla sokugcina amandla, ekunzima kakhulu ukusigcina; Ukusebenza kunye nokugcinwa kwezikhululo zamandla okugcina amandla kubandakanya umbane, iikhemikhali, ulawulo kunye nezinye iinkalo. Okwangoku, ukusebenza kunye nokugcinwa kubanzi, kwaye ubugcisa bokusebenza kunye nokugcinwa kwabasebenzi kufuneka kuphuculwe

Amathuba kunye nemingeni zihlala zihamba kunye. Singayandisa njani indima yokusasazwa kwamandla amatsha kunye nokugcinwa kunye nokubonelela ngeempendulo ezanelisayo zokufezekiswa kwenjongo yekhabhoni ezimbini?

"I-Symposium kwi-Energy Storage kunye ne-New Energy Systems", ixhaswe yi-International Energy Network, i-Photovoltaic Headlines kunye ne-Energy Storage Headlines, kunye nomxholo othi "Amandla amatsha, iiNkqubo eziNtsha kunye ne-Ecology entsha", iya kubanjelwa eBeijing ngoFebruwari 21. Okwangoku, "i-7th China Photovoltaic Industry Forum" iya kubanjelwa eBeijing ngoFebruwari 22.

Iforamu ijolise ekwakheni iqonga lokutshintshiselana ngexabiso elisekelwe kwi-photovoltaic industry. Iforamu imema iinkokeli, iingcali kunye nabaphengululi beKhomishoni yoPhuhliso kunye noHlaziyo lweSizwe, uLawulo lwaMandla, iingcali ezigunyazisiweyo kwishishini, imibutho yoshishino, amaziko ophando lwezenzululwazi, amaziko oyilo kunye namanye amaziko, kunye namashishini otyalo-mali ombane afana ne-Huaneng, i-National Energy Group, i-National Power Investment Corporation, i-China Energy Conservation, i-Datang, i-Three Gorges, i-China Nuclear Power Corporation, i-China i-Guangdong Power Corporation, i-China i-Guangdong ye-Nuclear Power Corporation, i-China i-Guangdong ye-Nuclear Power Corporation, i-China i-Guangdong yamandla eNuclear, i-China ye-Guangdong yase-China photovoltaic amashishini okuvelisa ikhonkco, Iingcali ezifana namashishini okudibanisa inkqubo kunye namashishini e-EPC kufuneka axoxe ngokupheleleyo kwaye atshintshiselane ngezihloko ezishushu ezifana nomgaqo-nkqubo woshishino we-photovoltaic, iteknoloji, uphuhliso loshishino kunye nentsingiselo kumxholo wenkqubo entsha yamandla, kwaye uncede ekupheleni koshishino ukufezekisa uphuhliso oludibeneyo.

"I-Symposium yoGcino lwaMandla kunye neNkqubo yaMandla amatsha" iya kuxoxa kwaye itshintshe imiba eshushu efana nomgaqo-nkqubo wogcino lwamandla, iteknoloji, ukuhlanganiswa kokugcinwa kwamehlo, njl. njl., kunye namashishini afana neqela leSizwe laMandla, iTrina Solar, i-Easter Group, iChint Energy entsha, i-Kehua Digital Energy, i-Baoguang Zhizhong, i-Aishiwei Storage, i-Shouhang kwi-Energy entsha iya kugxininisa kumxholo we-ecodual entsha ikhabhoni”, kwaye bafezekise impumelelo kunye nophuhliso oluzinzileyo lwenkqubo entsha yendalo, Ukubonelela ngeembono ezintsha kunye nokuqonda