Kufanotaurwa kwemusika wepasi rose wekuchengetedza simba muna 2023

Nhau dzeChina Business Intelligence Network: Kuchengetedza simba zvinoreva kuchengetwa kwesimba remagetsi, izvo zvine chekuita netekinoroji uye zviyero zvekushandisa nzira dzemakemikari kana dzepanyama kuchengetedza simba remagetsi uye kuriburitsa kana zvichidikanwa. Zvichienderana nenzira yekuchengetedza simba, kuchengetwa kwesimba kunogona kukamurwa kuita kuchengetwa kwesimba remagetsi, kuchengetwa kwesimba remagetsi, kuchengetwa kwesimba remagetsi, kuchengetwa kwesimba rekupisa uye kuchengetwa kwesimba remakemikari. Kuchengetedza simba kuri kuva imwe yematekinoroji akakosha anoshandiswa nenyika dzakawanda kusimudzira maitiro ekusapindirana kwekabhoni. Kunyangwe pasi pekumanikidzwa kaviri kwedenda reCOVID-19 uye kushomeka kwecheni yekugovera, musika wepasi rose wekuchengetedza simba idzva ucharamba uchikura zvakanyanya muna 2021. Data rinoratidza kuti panosvika kuguma kwa2021, huwandu hwesimba hwakaiswa hwemapurojekiti ekuchengetedza simba akaiswa pasi rose i209.4GW, yakakwira ne9% pagore; Pakati pawo, huwandu hwesimba hwakaiswa hwemapurojekiti matsva ekuchengetedza simba akaiswa kushanda hwaive 18.3GW, yakakwira ne185% pagore pagore. Zvichikanganiswa nekukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi muEurope, zvinotarisirwa kuti kudiwa kwekuchengetedza magetsi kucharamba kuchikura mumakore mashoma anotevera, uye huwandu hwemapurojekiti ekuchengetedza magetsi akaiswa pasi rose huchasvika 228.8GW muna 2023.

Tarisiro yeindasitiri

1. Mitemo yakanaka

Hurumende dzehupfumi hukuru dzakatora mitemo yekukurudzira kuvandudzwa kwekuchengetwa kwesimba. Semuenzaniso, muUnited States, mutero wekudyara wehurumende unopa mutero wekuisa michina yekuchengetera simba nevashandisi vemhuri nemaindasitiri nemabhizinesi. MuEU, 2030 Battery Innovation Roadmap inosimbisa matanho akasiyana-siyana ekukurudzira kuwanikwa kwenzvimbo uye kuvandudzwa kukuru kwetekinoroji yekuchengetwa kwesimba. MuChina, Chirongwa Chekushandisa Kwekuvandudza Kuchengetwa Kwesimba Idzva muChirongwa cheMakore Mashanu chegumi nemana chakaburitswa muna 2022 chakaisa mitemo yakazara uye matanho ekusimudzira indasitiri yekuchengetwa kwesimba kuti ipinde padanho guru rekukura.

2. Mugove wesimba rinogara kwenguva refu mukugadzirwa kwemagetsi uri kuwedzera

Sezvo simba remhepo, photovoltaic nedzimwe nzira dzekugadzira simba dzichinyanya kutsamira pakugadzirwa kwesimba, nekuwedzera zvishoma nezvishoma kwehuwandu hwesimba idzva senge simba remhepo nezuva, sisitimu yemagetsi ine double-peak, double-high uye double-sided randomness, izvo zvinoisa pamberi zvinodiwa zvepamusoro zvekuchengetedza nekugadzikana kwegrid yemagetsi, uye musika wakawedzera kudiwa kwekuchengetedza simba, kuveura peak, frequency modulation, uye kushanda kwakasimba. Kune rumwe rutivi, mamwe matunhu achiri kutarisana nedambudziko rekushaikwa kwechiedza nemagetsi zvakanyanya, senge Qinghai, Inner Mongolia, Hebei, nezvimwewo. Nekuvakwa kwebhesi idzva remagetsi makuru ekugadzira simba remhepo, zvinotarisirwa kuti kugadzirwa kwesimba idzva rakabatana negrid kuchaunza kumanikidzwa kukuru pakushandiswa nekushandiswa kwesimba idzva mune ramangwana. Chikamu chekugadzira simba idzva remuno chinotarisirwa kudarika 20% muna 2025. Kukura nekukurumidza kwesimba idzva rakaiswa kuchasimudzira kuwedzera kwesimba rekuchengetera simba.

3. Kudiwa kwesimba remagetsi kuri kushandiswa semagetsi akachena pasi pemaitiro ekuisa magetsi

Pasi pemaitiro ekuisa magetsi, kudiwa kwesimba kwave kuchichinja zvishoma nezvishoma kubva pasimba rekare rakadai semafuta efossil kuenda kusimba remagetsi rakachena. Kuchinja uku kunoonekwa mukuchinja kubva pamotokari dzefossil kuenda kumotokari dzemagetsi, dzakawanda dzacho dzinoshandiswa nesimba rinogona kuvandudzwa. Sezvo magetsi akachena achiwedzera kukosha, kudiwa kwekuchengetedza simba kucharamba kuchikwira kugadzirisa matambudziko anopindirana uye kuenzanisa kuwanikwa nekudiwa kwemagetsi.

4. Kuderera kwemutengo wekuchengetedza simba

Avhareji yepasi rose yeLCOE yekuchengetera simba yadzikira kubva pa2.0 kusvika pa3.5 yuan/kWh muna 2017 kusvika pa0.5 kusvika pa0.8 yuan/kWh muna 2021, uye inotarisirwa kudzikira zvakanyanya kusvika pa [0.3 kusvika pa0.5 yuan/kWh muna 2026. Kudzikira kwemitengo yekuchengetedza simba kunonyanya kukonzerwa nekufambira mberi kwetekinoroji yemabhatiri, kusanganisira kuvandudzwa kwehuwandu hwesimba, kudzikiswa kwemitengo yekugadzira uye kuwedzera kwehupenyu hwebhatiri. Kudzikira kuri kuramba kuchiitika kwemitengo yekuchengetedza simba kuchakurudzira kukura kweindasitiri yekuchengetedza simba.

Kuti uwane rumwe ruzivo, ndapota tarisai Mushumo weKutsvagisa pamusoro peMusika weTarisiro uye Mikana yeInvestment yeGlobal Energy Storage Industry yakaburitswa neChina Commercial Industry Research Institute. Panguva imwe chete, China Commercial Industry Research Institute inopawo mabasa akadai se industrial big data, industrial intelligence, industrial report yekutsvagisa, industrial planning, park planning, the Fourth Five-Year Plan, industrial investment nedzimwe sevhisi.