Kuneneratu za msika wapadziko lonse wosungira mphamvu mu 2023

Nkhani za China Business Intelligence Network: Kusunga mphamvu kumatanthauza kusungira mphamvu zamagetsi, komwe kumakhudzana ndi ukadaulo ndi miyeso yogwiritsira ntchito njira zamakemikolo kapena zakuthupi kusunga mphamvu zamagetsi ndikuzitulutsa zikafunika. Malinga ndi njira yosungira mphamvu, kusungira mphamvu kumatha kugawidwa m'magulu osungira mphamvu zamakanika, kusungira mphamvu zamaginito, kusungira mphamvu zamagetsi, kusungira mphamvu zamatenthedwe ndi kusungira mphamvu zamakemikolo. Kusunga mphamvu kukukhala imodzi mwaukadaulo wofunikira womwe mayiko ambiri amagwiritsa ntchito polimbikitsa njira yoletsa kaboni. Ngakhale pansi pa kupsinjika kawiri kwa mliri wa COVID-19 ndi kusowa kwa unyolo woperekera, msika wapadziko lonse wosungira mphamvu zatsopano udzapitilizabe kukula kwambiri mu 2021. Deta ikuwonetsa kuti pofika kumapeto kwa 2021, mphamvu zonse zoyikidwa zamapulojekiti osungira mphamvu zomwe zayikidwa padziko lonse lapansi ndi 209.4GW, kukwera ndi 9% pachaka; Pakati pawo, mphamvu zoyikidwa zamapulojekiti atsopano osungira mphamvu zomwe zayikidwa zinali 18.3GW, kukwera ndi 185% pachaka. Chifukwa cha kukwera kwa mitengo yamagetsi ku Europe, akuyembekezeka kuti kufunikira kwa malo osungira magetsi kudzapitirira kukula m'zaka zingapo zikubwerazi, ndipo mphamvu zonse zomwe zakhazikitsidwa pamapulojekiti osungira magetsi omwe ayamba kugwira ntchito padziko lonse lapansi zidzafika pa 228.8GW mu 2023.

Kuyembekezera kwa makampani

1. Ndondomeko zabwino

Maboma a mayiko akuluakulu atenga mfundo zolimbikitsa chitukuko cha malo osungira mphamvu. Mwachitsanzo, ku United States, ngongole ya msonkho wa ndalama za boma imapereka ngongole ya msonkho yokhazikitsa zida zosungira mphamvu ndi anthu ogwira ntchito m'nyumba, m'mafakitale ndi m'mabizinesi. Mu EU, 2030 Battery Innovation Roadmap ikugogomezera njira zosiyanasiyana zolimbikitsira malo ndi chitukuko chachikulu cha ukadaulo wosungira mphamvu. Ku China, Ndondomeko Yoyendetsera Ntchito Yopangira Malo Osungira Mphamvu Zatsopano mu Ndondomeko ya Zaka Zisanu ya 14 yomwe idaperekedwa mu 2022 idapereka mfundo ndi njira zokwanira zolimbikitsira makampani osungira mphamvu kuti alowe mu gawo lalikulu la chitukuko.

2. Gawo la mphamvu zokhazikika pakupanga magetsi likuwonjezeka

Popeza mphamvu ya mphepo, mphamvu ya photovoltaic ndi njira zina zopangira magetsi zimadalira kwambiri chilengedwe chopangira magetsi, ndi kuwonjezeka pang'onopang'ono kwa gawo la mphamvu zatsopano monga mphamvu ya mphepo ndi dzuwa, makina amagetsi amapereka chiwongola dzanja chawiri, chawiri komanso cha mbali ziwiri, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale zofunikira zambiri pachitetezo ndi kukhazikika kwa gridi yamagetsi, ndipo msika wawonjezera kufunikira kwa kusungira mphamvu, kumeta kwambiri, kusintha kwa ma frequency, komanso kugwira ntchito kokhazikika. Kumbali ina, madera ena akadali ndi vuto la kuchepa kwakukulu kwa kuwala ndi magetsi, monga Qinghai, Inner Mongolia, Hebei, ndi zina zotero. Pakumangidwa kwa magulu atsopano opanga magetsi a photovoltaic amphamvu ya mphepo, zikuyembekezeka kuti kupanga magetsi atsopano olumikizidwa ndi gridi kudzabweretsa kupsinjika kwakukulu pakugwiritsa ntchito ndi kugwiritsa ntchito mphamvu zatsopano mtsogolo. Chiŵerengero cha kupanga magetsi atsopano m'nyumba chikuyembekezeka kupitirira 20% mu 2025. Kukula mwachangu kwa mphamvu zatsopano zomwe zayikidwa kudzapangitsa kuti mphamvu zosungira magetsi ziwonjezeke.

3. Kufunika kwa mphamvu kukusintha kukhala mphamvu yoyera chifukwa cha chizolowezi cha magetsi

Pansi pa njira yopezera magetsi, kufunikira kwa mphamvu kwasintha pang'onopang'ono kuchoka pa mphamvu zachikhalidwe monga mafuta osungiramo zinthu zakale kupita ku mphamvu zamagetsi zoyera. Kusinthasintha kumeneku kukuwonekera m'kusinthasintha kuchoka pa magalimoto osungiramo zinthu zakale kupita ku magalimoto amagetsi, omwe ambiri mwa iwo amayendetsedwa ndi mphamvu zongowonjezedwanso. Pamene magetsi oyera akukhala ofunika kwambiri, kufunikira kwa kusungirako mphamvu kudzapitirira kukwera kuti athetse mavuto okhazikika ndikulinganiza kupezeka ndi kufunikira kwa magetsi.

4. Kutsika kwa ndalama zosungira mphamvu

Chiwerengero chapakati cha LCOE padziko lonse lapansi cha mphamvu yosungira magetsi chatsika kuchoka pa 2.0 kufika pa 3.5 yuan/kWh mu 2017 kufika pa 0.5 kufika pa 0.8 yuan/kWh mu 2021, ndipo chikuyembekezeka kutsika kufika pa [0.3 kufika pa 0.5 yuan/kWh mu 2026. Kutsika kwa ndalama zosungira magetsi kumachitika makamaka chifukwa cha kupita patsogolo kwa ukadaulo wa batri, kuphatikizapo kusintha kwa kuchuluka kwa mphamvu, kuchepetsa ndalama zopangira komanso kuwonjezeka kwa moyo wa batri. Kutsika kosalekeza kwa ndalama zosungira magetsi kudzalimbikitsa kukula kwa makampani osungira magetsi.

Kuti mudziwe zambiri, chonde onani Lipoti Lofufuza za Msika ndi Mwayi Woyika Ndalama wa Makampani Osungira Mphamvu Padziko Lonse omwe adatulutsidwa ndi China Commercial Industry Research Institute. Nthawi yomweyo, China Commercial Industry Research Institute imaperekanso ntchito monga deta yayikulu yamakampani, luntha la mafakitale, lipoti lofufuza zamakampani, kukonzekera mafakitale, kukonzekera mapaki, Ndondomeko ya Zaka Zisanu ndi Zinayi, ndalama zamafakitale ndi ntchito zina.