Te mākete rokiroki whatu o Haina i te tau 2023
I te 13 o Pēpuere, i tū he huihuinga pāpāho a te Tari Pūngao ā-Motu ki Beijing. I whakapuaki a Wang Dapeng, te Kaiwhakahaere Tuarua o te Tari Pūngao Hou me te Pūngao Whakahou o te Tari Pūngao ā-Motu, i te tau 2022, ka neke atu te kaha hou kua tāutahia mō te whakaputa hiko hau me te photovoltaic i te whenua i te 120 miriona kilowatts, ka eke ki te 125 miriona kilowatts, ka pakaru i te 100 miriona kilowatts mō ngā tau e toru karapīpiti, ā, ka eke ki tētahi rekoata teitei hou.
I kī a Liu Yafang, te tumuaki tuarua o te Tari Tiaki Pūngao me ngā Taputapu Pūtaiao me te Hangarau o te Whakahaere Pūngao ā-Motu, i te mutunga o te tau 2022, kua eke te kaha tāuta o ngā kaupapa rokiroki pūngao hou e whakahaerehia ana puta noa i te motu ki te 8.7 miriona kilowatt, me te wā rokiroki pūngao toharite o te 2.1 hāora, he pikinga neke atu i te 110% mai i te mutunga o te tau 2021.
I ngā tau tata nei, i raro i te whāinga waro-rua, kua tere haere te whanaketanga o te pūngao hou pēnei i te hau me te whakaputa hiko o te rā, ā, ko te piki me te heke o te pūngao hou kua uaua ki te whakarite i te pumau o te tuku hiko. Kua piki haere te tohatoha me te rokiroki o te pūngao hou hei kaupapa matua, e whai mahi ana ki te pehi i te piki me te heke o te kaha whakaputa pūngao hou, te whakapai ake i te kai o te pūngao hou, te whakaiti i te rerekētanga o te mahere whakaputa hiko, te whakapai ake i te haumarutanga me te pumau o te mahi whatunga hiko, me te whakaiti i te raruraru o te tuku hiko.
I te 21 o Paenga-whāwhā, 2021, i whakaputa te Komihana Whakawhanake me te Whakahoutanga ā-Motu me te Whakahaere Pūngao ā-Motu i ngā Whakaaro Arataki mō te Whakateretere i te Whakawhanaketanga o te Rokiroki Pūngao Hou, ā, i tono whakaaro mai i te hapori katoa. I whakaritea māramatia ko te kaha tāuta o te rokiroki pūngao hou ka eke ki te neke atu i te 30 miriona kirowati i te tau 2025. E ai ki ngā tatauranga, i te mutunga o te tau 2020, kua whakatinanahia e Haina te kaha tāuta katoa o te rokiroki pūngao hikohiko ko te 3269.2 megawatts, 3.3 miriona kirowati rānei, e ai ki te whāinga tāutanga i whakaarohia i roto i te tuhinga, I te tau 2025, ka piki ake te kaha tāuta o te rokiroki pūngao hikohiko i Haina tata ki te 10 ngā wā.
I tēnei rā, me te tere o te whanaketanga o te rokiroki pūngao PV+, me te kaupapa here me te tautoko mākete, kei te pēhea te āhua o te whanaketanga o te mākete rokiroki pūngao? Me pēhea te whakahaere o te teihana hiko rokiroki pūngao kua whakatinanahia? Ka taea e ia te whai i tana tūranga me tana uara tika?
Tae atu ki te 30% te rokiroki!
Mai i te kōwhiringa ki te whakahau, i tukuna te whakahau tohatoha rokiroki tino kaha.
E ai ki ngā tatauranga o te International Energy Network/Photovoltaic Headline (PV-2005), tae noa ki tēnei wā, e 25 ngā whenua kua whakaputa kaupapa here hei whakamārama i ngā whakaritenga motuhake mō te whirihoranga me te rokiroki photovoltaic. I te nuinga o te wā, ko te nuinga o ngā rohe e hiahia ana kia noho te tauine tohatoha me te rokiroki o ngā teihana hiko photovoltaic i waenga i te 5% me te 30% o te kaha kua tāutahia, ko te wā whirihoranga he 2-4 hāora te nuinga, ā, ko ētahi rohe he 1 hāora.
I roto i ēnei, kua āta whakaarohia e te Tāone o Zaozhuang o te Porowini o Shandong te tauine whanaketanga, ngā āhuatanga kawenga, te tere whakamahinga photovoltaic me ētahi atu āhuatanga, ā, kua whirihorahia ngā whare rokiroki pūngao kia rite ki te kaha tāuta o te 15% – 30% (kua whakarerekētia kia rite ki te wāhanga whanaketanga) me te roanga o te 2-4 hāora, kua reti rānei i ngā whare rokiroki pūngao tiritahi me te kaha ōrite, kua noho hei tuanui mō ngā whakaritenga tohatoha me te rokiroki photovoltaic o nāianei. Hei tāpiri, me eke te ōwehenga tohatoha me te rokiroki ki te 20% o Shaanxi, Gansu, Henan me ētahi atu wāhi.
He mea tika kia mōhiotia i whakaputa a Guizhou i tētahi tuhinga hei whakamārama me tutuki i ngā kaupapa pūngao hou ngā whakaritenga o te mahi e rua hāora mā te hanga, te hoko rānei i te rokiroki pūngao i te tere kāore i raro i te 10% o te kaha kua tāutahia o te pūngao hou (ka taea te whakarerekē i te ōwehenga hononga kia rite ki te āhuatanga tūturu) kia tutuki ai te tono teitei; Mō ngā kaupapa pūngao hou kāore he rokiroki pūngao, kāore e whakaarohia te hononga whatunga mō te wā poto, ka taea te kī ko te raupapa tohatoha me te rokiroki tino kaha.
Ngā taputapu rokiroki pūngao:
He uaua ki te whiwhi hua, ā, kāore i te tino teitei te hihiri o ngā umanga
E ai ki ngā tatauranga o te International Energy Network/Photovoltaic Headline (PV-2005), i te tau 2022, e 83 ngā kaupapa rokiroki pūngao hau me te pūngao rā i hainatia/i whakamaheretia puta noa i te motu, me te tauine kaupapa mārama o te 191.553GW me te nui o te haumitanga mārama o te 663.346 piriona yuan.
I roto i ngā rahi kaupapa kua tautuhia, ko Inner Mongolia te tuatahi me te 53.436GW, ko Gansu te tuarua me te 47.307GW, ā, ko Heilongjiang te tuatoru me te 15.83GW. Ko ngā rahi kaupapa o Guizhou, Shanxi, Xinjiang, Liaoning, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Yunnan, Guangxi, Hubei, Chongqing, Jiangxi, Shandong, me Anhui katoa e neke atu ana i te 1GW.
Ahakoa kua tino piki haere ngā teihana hiko hou mō te tohatoha pūngao me te rokiroki pūngao, kua taka ngā teihana hiko rokiroki pūngao kua whakatinanahia ki roto i tētahi āhuatanga āwangawanga. He maha ngā kaupapa rokiroki pūngao tautoko kei te wā mangere, ā, ka noho hei āhuatanga whakama.
E ai ki te "Pūrongo Rangahau mō te Whakahaere o te Tohatoha me te Rokiroki Pūngao Hou" i whakaputaina e te Uniana Hiko o Haina, ko te utu mō ngā kaupapa rokiroki pūngao kei waenganui i te 1500-3000 yuan/kWh. Nā te rerekētanga o ngā āhuatanga rohe, he nui te rerekētanga utu i waenga i ngā kaupapa. Mai i te āhuatanga tūturu, kāore i te teitei te hua o te nuinga o ngā kaupapa rokiroki pūngao.
Kāore e taea te wehe i tēnei mai i ngā here o te ao tūturu. I tētahi taha, mō te urunga ki te mākete, kāore anō kia whakamāramahia ngā tikanga urunga mō ngā teihana hiko rokiroki pūngao ki te whai wāhi atu ki te mākete hokohoko hiko, ā, kāore anō kia whakapaitia ngā ture hokohoko. I tētahi atu taha, mō te tikanga utu, kāore i whakaroahia te whakatūnga o tētahi tikanga utu kaha motuhake mō ngā teihana hiko rokiroki pūngao i te taha whatunga, ā, kāore tonu i te katoa o te umanga he arorau pakihi katoa hei ārahi i te pūtea pāpori ki roto i te kaupapa rokiroki pūngao. I tētahi atu taha, he nui te utu o te rokiroki pūngao hou, ā, he iti te whai huatanga, Kāore he hongere mō te hongere. E ai ki ngā pūrongo pāpāho e pā ana, i tēnei wā, ko te utu o te tohatoha me te rokiroki pūngao hou kei te pikauhia e ngā umanga whakawhanake pūngao hou, kāore e tukuna ki raro. Kua piki ake te utu o ngā pākahiko lithium ion, kua nui ake te pēhanga whakahaere ki ngā umanga pūngao hou, ā, kua pā ki ngā whakataunga haumi a ngā umanga whakawhanake pūngao hou. Hei tāpiri, i ngā tau e rua kua pahure ake nei, me te pikinga o te utu o te rauemi silicon i te tihi o te mekameka ahumahi photovoltaic, ka tino rerekē te utu. Mō ngā umanga pūngao hou me te tohatoha me te rokiroki ā-ture, kāore i te kore, kua piki ake te taumahatanga o ngā umanga whakaputa hiko pūngao hou nā ngā āhuatanga takirua, nō reira he iti noa te hihiri o ngā umanga mō te tohatoha me te rokiroki pūngao hou.
Ngā herenga matua:
Kei te toe tonu te raruraru o te haumaru rokiroki pūngao me te whakatau, ā, he uaua te whakahaere me te tiaki i te teihana hiko.
I ngā tau e rua kua pahure ake nei, kua tupu haere ngā momo rokiroki pūngao hou, ā, kua whānui haere te whakamahinga, i te mea kua piki haere te kino o te haumaru o te rokiroki pūngao. E ai ki ngā tatauranga kāore anō kia oti, mai i te tau 2018, neke atu i te 40 ngā aituā o te pahūtanga me te ahi o te pākahiko rokiroki pūngao puta noa i te ao, inā koa te pahūtanga o te Teihana Hiko Rokiroki Pūngao o Beijing i te 16 o Paenga-whāwhā, 2021, i mate ai ētahi kaipatu ahi e rua, i whara ai tētahi kaipatu ahi, me te ngaronga o te whakapā atu o tētahi kaimahi i te teihana hiko. Ko ngā hua pākahiko rokiroki pūngao o nāianei kei te pāngia e ngā raruraru pēnei i te kore e ranea te haumaru me te pono, te ngoikore o te aratohu o ngā paerewa me ngā whakaritenga e tika ana, te kore e ranea te whakatinanatanga o ngā mahi whakahaere haumaru, me te koretake o te whakatūpato haumaru me te tikanga ohorere.
Hei tāpiritanga, i raro i te pēhanga o te utu nui, kua whiriwhiria e ētahi kaihanga kaupapa rokiroki pūngao ngā hua rokiroki pūngao he ngoikore te mahi me te iti o te utu haumi, ka piki ake hoki te tūponotanga o te mōrearea haumaru. Ka taea te kī ko te raruraru haumaru te mea matua e pā ana ki te whanaketanga hauora me te pumau o te tauine rokiroki pūngao hou, me whakatau wawe.
Mō te whakahaere me te tiaki i ngā teihana hiko, e ai ki te pūrongo a te China Electricity Union, he nui rawa te maha o ngā pūtau hikohiko, ā, kua eke te tauine o te maha o ngā pūtau takitahi o te kaupapa rokiroki hiko ki ngā tekau mano, ki ngā rau mano rānei o ngā taumata. Hei tāpiri, ko te utu whakahekenga uara, te ngaronga o te whai huatanga o te hurihanga hiko, te pirau o te kaha o te pākahiko me ētahi atu āhuatanga i roto i te whakahaere ka tino whakanui ake i te utu huringa ora o te teihana hiko rokiroki hiko katoa, he tino uaua ki te tiaki; Ko te whakahaere me te tiaki i ngā teihana hiko rokiroki hiko e uru ana ki te hiko, te matū, te whakahaere me ētahi atu mara. I tēnei wā, he whānui te whakahaere me te tiaki, ā, me whakapai ake te ngaiotanga o ngā kaimahi whakahaere me te tiaki.
He hononga tonu ngā whai wāhitanga me ngā wero. Me pēhea tātou e whakamahi pai ai i te mahi a te tohatoha me te rokiroki pūngao hou, me te whakarato i ngā whakautu whai hua hei whakatutuki i te whāinga waro-rua?
Ka tū te "Huihuinga mō te Rokiroki Pūngao me ngā Pūnaha Pūngao Hou", i tautokona e te Whatunga Pūngao o te Ao, ngā Upoko Whakaahua me ngā Upoko Rokiroki Pūngao, me te kaupapa "Pūngao Hou, Ngā Pūnaha Hou me te Taiao Hou", ki Beijing i te 21 o Pēpuere. I taua wā, ka tū te "Huihuinga Ahumahi Whakaahua o Haina 7" ki Beijing i te 22 o Pēpuere.
Ko te whāinga o te huihuinga he hanga i tētahi tūāpapa whakawhitiwhiti uara mō te umanga photovoltaic. Ka karangahia e te huihuinga ngā kaiārahi, ngā tohunga me ngā mātauranga o te National Development and Reform Commission, te Energy Administration, ngā tohunga whai mana o te umanga, ngā rōpū umanga, ngā whare rangahau pūtaiao, ngā whare hoahoa me ētahi atu whare, tae atu ki ngā umanga haumi hiko pēnei i a Huaneng, te National Energy Group, te National Power Investment Corporation, China Energy Conservation, Datang, Three Gorges, China Nuclear Power Corporation, China Guangdong Nuclear Power Corporation, te State Grid, China Southern Power Grid, me ngā umanga hanga mekameka umanga photovoltaic. Me matapaki katoa ngā tohunga pēnei i ngā umanga whakauru pūnaha me ngā umanga EPC me te whakawhitiwhiti kaupapa wera pēnei i te kaupapa here umanga photovoltaic, te hangarau, te whanaketanga umanga me te ia i roto i te horopaki o te pūnaha hiko hou, me te āwhina i te umanga ki te whakatutuki i te whanaketanga whakauru.
Ka matapakihia, ka whakawhitiwhitihia hoki e te "Huihuinga mō te Rokiroki Pūngao me te Pūnaha Pūngao Hou" ngā take wera pēnei i te kaupapa here a te umanga rokiroki pūngao, te hangarau, te whakaurunga rokiroki whatu, me ētahi atu, me ngā umanga pēnei i te National Energy Group, Trina Solar, Easter Group, Chint New Energy, Kehua Digital Energy, Baoguang Zhizhong, Aishiwei Storage, Shouhang New Energy, ngā raruraru hei wikitoria i te hanga i tētahi pūnaha rauropi hou i roto i te horopaki o te "waro takirua", me te whakatutuki i te whanaketanga angitu me te pumau o te pūnaha rauropi hou, me te whakarato whakaaro me ngā māramatanga hou.
Te wā tuku: 20-Pepuere-2023


