Tuam Tshoj lub khw muag khoom kho qhov muag hauv 2023

Lub Ob Hlis 13, National Energy Administration tau tuav lub rooj sib tham tsis tu ncua hauv Beijing. Wang Dapeng, Tus Lwm Thawj Coj ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ruaj Ntseg Tshiab thiab Rov Ntxiv Zog ntawm National Energy Administration, tau qhia tias xyoo 2022, lub zog tshiab ntawm cov cua thiab cov tshuab hluav taws xob photovoltaic hauv lub tebchaws yuav tshaj 120 lab kilowatts, ncav cuag 125 lab kilowatts, tawg 100 lab kilowatts rau peb xyoos sib law liag, thiab ntaus cov ntaub ntawv tshiab siab.

Liu Yafang, tus lwm thawj coj ntawm Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Tiv Thaiv Hluav Taws Xob thiab Kev Tshawb Fawb thiab Cov Khoom Siv Hluav Taws Xob ntawm National Energy Administration, tau hais tias los ntawm qhov kawg ntawm 2022, lub peev xwm nruab ntawm lub zog tshiab cia cov haujlwm hauv kev ua haujlwm thoob tebchaws tau mus txog 8.7 lab kilowatts, nrog rau lub sijhawm nruab nrab ntawm lub zog cia li ntawm 2.1 teev, nce ntau dua 12% kawg ntawm 110%.

Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, nyob rau hauv lub hom phiaj dual-carbon, lub leapfrog txoj kev loj hlob ntawm lub zog tshiab xws li cua zog thiab hnub ci zog tsim tau ceev, thaum lub volatility thiab randomness ntawm lub zog tshiab tau dhau los ua cov teeb meem hauv kev ua kom cov khoom siv hluav taws xob ruaj khov. Kev faib hluav taws xob tshiab thiab khaws cia tau maj mam dhau los ua lub hauv paus, uas muaj lub luag haujlwm ntawm kev txwv qhov hloov pauv ntawm lub zog tshiab tso zis hluav taws xob, txhim kho kev siv lub zog tshiab, txo qhov sib txawv ntawm cov phiaj xwm tsim hluav taws xob, txhim kho kev ruaj ntseg thiab kev ruaj ntseg ntawm lub zog hluav taws xob ua haujlwm, thiab txo qis kev sib kis congestion.

Thaum Lub Plaub Hlis 21, 2021, National Development and Reform Commission thiab National Energy Administration tau tshaj tawm Cov Lus Qhia Txog Kev Txhim Kho Kev Txhim Kho Lub Zog Tshiab thiab thov kev xav los ntawm tag nrho lub zej zog. Nws tau hais meej meej tias lub peev xwm ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tshiab yuav ncav cuag ntau dua 30 lab kilowatts los ntawm 2025. Raws li kev txheeb cais, los ntawm qhov kawg ntawm 2020, Tuam Tshoj tau muab tso rau hauv kev ua lag luam lub peev xwm ntawm electrochemical zog cia yog 3269.2 megawatts, los yog 3.3 lab kilowatts, raws li lub installation lub hom phiaj ntawm 2020 cov ntaub ntawv khaws cia electrochemical, Tuam Tshoj. nce txog 10 npaug

Niaj hnub no, nrog txoj kev loj hlob sai ntawm PV + lub zog cia, nrog rau txoj cai thiab kev txhawb nqa kev lag luam, txoj kev loj hlob ntawm lub zog cia kev lag luam yog li cas? Yuav ua li cas hais txog kev ua haujlwm ntawm lub zog txuag hluav taws xob uas tau muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm? Nws puas tuaj yeem ua nws lub luag haujlwm thiab tus nqi?

Txog li 30% cia!

Los ntawm kev xaiv mus rau qhov yuav tsum tau ua, qhov kev txwv nruj tshaj plaws ntawm kev faib khoom tau muab tso tawm

Raws li kev txheeb cais ntawm International Energy Network / Photovoltaic Headline (PV-2005), txog rau tam sim no, tag nrho ntawm 25 lub teb chaws tau tshaj tawm cov cai los qhia meej txog cov cai tshwj xeeb rau kev teeb tsa photovoltaic thiab khaws cia. Feem ntau, feem ntau cov cheeb tsam xav tau tias qhov kev faib tawm thiab kev khaws cia ntawm cov chaw siv hluav taws xob photovoltaic nyob nruab nrab ntawm 5% thiab 30% ntawm lub peev xwm nruab, lub sijhawm teeb tsa feem ntau yog 2-4 teev, thiab ob peb cheeb tsam yog 1 teev.

Ntawm lawv, Zaozhuang City ntawm Shandong xeev tau hais meej txog qhov kev loj hlob, cov yam ntxwv thauj khoom, kev siv hluav taws xob photovoltaic thiab lwm yam, thiab teeb tsa lub zog cia chaw raws li lub peev xwm ntawm 15% - 30% (hloov raws li theem kev loj hlob) thiab lub sijhawm ntawm 2-4 teev, los yog xauj cov khoom siv hluav taws xob khaws cia nrog lub peev xwm tam sim no. Tsis tas li ntawd, Shaanxi, Gansu, Henan thiab lwm qhov chaw xav tau kev faib khoom thiab kev cia kom ncav cuag 20%

Nws yog ib qho tsim nyog sau cia tias Guizhou tau tshaj tawm cov ntaub ntawv los qhia meej tias cov haujlwm tshiab ntawm lub zog yuav tsum ua kom tau raws li qhov yuav tsum tau ua ntawm ob-teev kev ua haujlwm los ntawm lub tsev lossis kev yuav khoom lub zog cia ntawm tus nqi tsis pub tsawg tshaj 10% ntawm lub peev xwm ntawm lub zog tshiab (qhov sib txuas sib txuas tuaj yeem hloov kho dynamically raws li qhov xwm txheej tiag tiag) kom ua tau raws li qhov xav tau ntawm lub ncov shaving; Rau cov phiaj xwm hluav taws xob tshiab uas tsis muaj lub zog cia, daim phiaj sib txuas yuav tsis raug txiav txim siab ib ntus, uas tuaj yeem suav tau tias yog qhov nruj tshaj plaws kev faib thiab kev txiav txim cia.

Lub zog cia khoom siv:

Nws yog qhov nyuaj rau kev ua kom tau nyiaj thiab kev txaus siab ntawm kev lag luam feem ntau tsis siab

Raws li kev txheeb cais ntawm International Energy Network / Photovoltaic Headline (PV-2005), nyob rau hauv 2022, tag nrho ntawm 83 cua thiab hnub ci zog cia tej yaam num tau kos npe / npaj thoob plaws lub teb chaws, nrog ib tug meej project scale ntawm 191.553GW thiab ib tug meej peev nyiaj ntawm 663.346 billion yuan.

Ntawm cov phiaj xwm tau hais tseg, Inner Mongolia nyob rau qib thib ib nrog 53.436GW, Gansu thib ob nrog 47.307GW, thiab Heilongjiang thib peb nrog 15.83GW. Qhov project loj ntawm Guizhou, Shanxi, Xinjiang, Liaoning, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Yunnan, Guangxi, Hubei, Chongqing, Jiangxi, Shandong, thiab Anhui xeev tag nrho tshaj 1GW

Thaum cov kev faib hluav taws xob tshiab thiab cov chaw cia khoom siv hluav taws xob tau nce mus ntxiv, cov chaw nres tsheb fais fab fais fab uas tau muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm tau poob rau hauv qhov kev txhawj xeeb. Ib tug loj tus naj npawb ntawm kev txhawb zog cia tej yaam num nyob rau hauv lub idle theem thiab maj mam ua ib tug txaj muag

Raws li "Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Kev Ua Haujlwm ntawm Kev Siv Hluav Taws Xob Tshiab thiab Kev Cia Khoom" tawm los ntawm Tuam Tshoj Hluav Taws Xob Hluav Taws Xob, tus nqi ntawm lub zog cia cov haujlwm feem ntau yog nyob nruab nrab ntawm 1500-3000 yuan / kWh. Vim muaj kev ciam teb sib txawv, tus nqi sib txawv ntawm cov phiaj xwm loj. Los ntawm qhov teeb meem tiag tiag, cov txiaj ntsig ntawm feem ntau cov phiaj xwm kev cia khoom hluav taws xob tsis siab

Qhov no yog inseparable los ntawm cov kev txwv ntawm kev muaj tiag. Ntawm qhov tod tes, nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev ua lag luam, kev nkag mus rau lub zog cia chaw nres tsheb fais fab kev koom tes hauv hluav taws xob chaw lag luam kev lag luam tseem tsis tau qhia meej, thiab cov kev cai ua lag luam tseem tsis tau txhim kho. Ntawm qhov tod tes, nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm tus nqi mechanism, tsim kom muaj ib tug ywj siab muaj peev xwm pricing mechanism rau lub zog cia fais fab chaw nres tsheb nyob rau hauv daim phiaj sab tsis tau ncua, thiab kev lag luam tag nrho tseem tsis muaj ib tug ua tiav kev lag luam logic los coj kev sib raug zoo peev rau hauv lub zog cia project. Ntawm qhov tod tes, tus nqi ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tshiab yog qhov siab thiab qhov ua tau zoo yog qhov tsawg, Tsis muaj cov channel rau channeling. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv xov xwm cuam tshuam, tam sim no, tus nqi ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tshiab thiab kev cia khoom yog yug los ntawm cov tuam txhab kev tsim hluav taws xob tshiab, uas tsis tau xa mus rau hauv qab. Tus nqi ntawm cov roj teeb lithium ion tau nce, uas tau ua rau muaj kev ua haujlwm siab dua rau cov tuam txhab hluav taws xob tshiab thiab cuam tshuam rau kev txiav txim siab peev ntawm cov tuam txhab tsim hluav taws xob tshiab. Tsis tas li ntawd, nyob rau hauv ob xyoos dhau los, nrog rau cov nqi ntawm cov khoom siv silicon nyob rau hauv upstream ntawm photovoltaic kev lag luam saw nce, tus nqi fluctuates heev. Rau cov tuam txhab hluav taws xob tshiab nrog kev yuam kev faib thiab khaws cia, Undoubtedly, ob yam tseem ceeb tau ntxiv rau lub nra ntawm lub zog tshiab lub zog tsim kev lag luam, yog li kev txaus siab ntawm cov lag luam rau kev faib hluav taws xob tshiab thiab kev khaws cia feem ntau qis.

Cov kev txwv tseem ceeb:

Qhov teeb meem ntawm lub zog cia kev ruaj ntseg tseem yuav daws tau, thiab kev ua haujlwm thiab kev saib xyuas ntawm lub chaw nres tsheb fais fab yog qhov nyuaj

Nyob rau hauv ob xyoos dhau los, hom tshiab ntawm lub zog cia tau vam meej thiab tau siv dav zuj zus ntxiv, thaum kev nyab xeeb ntawm lub zog khaws cia tau nce zuj zus. Raws li kev txheeb cais tsis tiav, txij li xyoo 2018, ntau dua 40 qhov xwm txheej ntawm lub zog cia roj teeb tawg thiab hluav taws tau tshwm sim thoob ntiaj teb, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog qhov tawg ntawm Beijing Energy Storage Power Station thaum lub Plaub Hlis 16, 2021, uas ua rau muaj ob tus neeg tua hluav taws tuag, raug mob ntawm ib tus neeg tua hluav taws, thiab poob ntawm kev sib cuag ntawm ib tus neeg ua haujlwm hauv lub chaw nres tsheb fais fab, xws li cov khoom siv hluav taws xob tam sim no, thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob muaj kev nyab xeeb. Kev taw qhia tsis muaj zog ntawm cov qauv thiab cov kev qhia tshwj xeeb, kev ua tsis tiav ntawm kev tswj xyuas kev nyab xeeb, thiab kev ceeb toom kev nyab xeeb tsis zoo thiab cov txheej txheem xwm txheej ceev

Tsis tas li ntawd, nyob rau hauv lub siab ntawm tus nqi siab, qee lub zog cia qhov project builders tau xaiv lub zog cia khoom nrog kev ua haujlwm tsis zoo thiab kev nqis peev tsawg, uas kuj ua rau muaj kev phom sij rau kev nyab xeeb. Nws tuaj yeem hais tau tias qhov teeb meem kev nyab xeeb yog qhov tseem ceeb cuam tshuam rau kev noj qab haus huv thiab ruaj khov kev loj hlob ntawm lub zog tshiab cia teev, uas yuav tsum tau daws sai.

Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm lub chaw nres tsheb fais fab kev lag luam thiab kev saib xyuas, raws li daim ntawv tshaj tawm ntawm Tuam Tshoj Hluav Taws Xob Hluav Taws Xob, cov xov tooj ntawm cov hluav taws xob hluav taws xob yog loj, thiab cov nplai ntawm cov xov tooj ntawm ib leeg ntawm lub zog cia qhov project tau mus txog kaum tawm txhiab lossis ntau pua txhiab tus qib. Tsis tas li ntawd, tus nqi depreciation, poob ntawm lub zog hloov dua siab tshiab efficiency, roj teeb muaj peev xwm lwj thiab lwm yam hauv kev ua haujlwm kuj tseem yuav ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau lub neej ntawm tag nrho lub zog cia chaw nres tsheb, uas yog qhov nyuaj heev los tswj; Kev ua haujlwm thiab kev saib xyuas ntawm lub zog cia cov chaw nres tsheb muaj xws li hluav taws xob, tshuaj, tswj thiab lwm yam kev qhuab qhia. Tam sim no, kev ua haujlwm thiab kev saib xyuas yog qhov dav, thiab kev tshaj lij ntawm kev ua haujlwm thiab kev saib xyuas cov neeg ua haujlwm yuav tsum tau txhim kho

Cov cib fim thiab kev sib tw yeej ib txwm sib koom tes. Yuav ua li cas peb tuaj yeem ua tiav lub luag haujlwm ntawm kev faib hluav taws xob tshiab thiab khaws cia thiab muab cov lus teb txaus siab rau kev ua tiav ntawm lub hom phiaj ntawm ob-carbon?

Lub "Symposium on Energy Storage and New Energy Systems", txhawb nqa los ntawm International Energy Network, Photovoltaic Headlines thiab Energy Storage Headlines, nrog rau cov ntsiab lus ntawm "Lub Zog Tshiab, Cov Txheej Txheem Tshiab thiab Cov Ecology tshiab", yuav muaj nyob rau hauv Beijing thaum Lub Ob Hlis 21. Lub caij no, "7th Tuam Tshoj Photovoltaic Industry Forum" yuav muaj nyob rau hauv Beijing rau Lub Ob Hlis 2.

Lub rooj sab laj aims tsim kom muaj nuj nqis-raws li kev sib pauv platform rau kev lag luam photovoltaic. Lub rooj sab laj caw cov thawj coj, cov kws tshaj lij thiab cov kws tshawb fawb ntawm National Development thiab Reform Commission, Lub Chaw Tswj Xyuas Hluav Taws Xob, cov kws tshaj lij kev lag luam, cov koom haum kev lag luam, cov koom haum tshawb fawb, cov koom haum tsim thiab lwm lub koom haum, nrog rau kev lag luam fais fab xws li Huaneng, National Energy Group, National Power Investment Corporation, China Energy Conservation, Datang, Three Power Gorges, Tuam Tshoj Nuclear Corporation Daim phiaj, Tuam Tshoj Southern Power Grid, thiab photovoltaic kev lag luam saw kev lag luam, Cov kws tshaj lij xws li kev sib koom ua ke kev lag luam thiab EPC cov tuam txhab yuav tsum sib tham thiab sib pauv cov ntsiab lus kub xws li photovoltaic kev lag luam txoj cai, thev naus laus zis, kev tsim kho kev lag luam thiab cov qauv hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm lub zog tshiab, thiab pab kev lag luam kom tiav kev sib koom ua ke.

Lub "Symposium on Energy Storage and New Energy System" yuav sib tham thiab sib pauv cov teeb meem kub xws li kev lag luam kev lag luam txoj cai, thev naus laus zis, kev sib koom ua ke kho qhov muag, thiab lwm yam, thiab cov lag luam xws li National Energy Group, Trina Solar, Easter Group, Chint New Energy, Kehua Digital Energy, Baoguang Zhizhong, Aishiwei Storage, Shouhang Tshiab Zog yuav tsom rau cov teeb meem kom tau txais cov ntsiab lus tshiab ntawm kev ua tiav, thiab cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev tsim kho. yeej-yeej thiab ruaj khov kev txhim kho ntawm cov ecosystem tshiab, Muab cov tswv yim tshiab thiab kev pom